
Author guide
Nate Silver Books in Order
Nate Silver is an American statistician, author, and political analyst. He developed the PECOTA baseball forecasting system, founded FiveThirtyEight, and writes about prediction, uncertainty, probability, gambling, and risk.
Nate Silver's Newest Book

Not sure where to begin?
Start with one of these

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't
Silver's foundational book on prediction, uncertainty, and statistical reasoning.

On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything
His later standalone book on gambling, risk-taking, and decision-making.
Read in order
Books by series
annual · completed
Baseball Prospectus Annual
Annual books of Major League Baseball analysis, forecasts, and player projections, co-authored by Nate Silver during his Baseball Prospectus years.
- 1 Baseball Prospectus 2003Amazon ↗
Book 1 · nonfiction · 2003
- 2 Baseball Prospectus 2004Amazon ↗
Book 2 · nonfiction · 2004
- 3 Baseball Prospectus 2005Amazon ↗
Book 3 · nonfiction · 2005
- 4 Baseball Prospectus 2006Amazon ↗
Book 4 · nonfiction · 2006
- 5 Baseball Prospectus 2007Amazon ↗
Book 5 · nonfiction · 2007
- 6 Baseball Prospectus 2008Amazon ↗
Book 6 · nonfiction · 2008
- 7
Baseball Prospectus 2009Amazon ↗Book 7 · nonfiction · 2009
Outside the series