Book Series Guide

Author guide

Nate Silver Books in Order

Nate Silver is an American statistician, author, and political analyst. He developed the PECOTA baseball forecasting system, founded FiveThirtyEight, and writes about prediction, uncertainty, probability, gambling, and risk.

nonfictionstatisticspoliticssportsrisk

Nate Silver's Newest Book

Not sure where to begin?

Start with one of these

Cover of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't

The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't

Silver's foundational book on prediction, uncertainty, and statistical reasoning.

Cover of On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything

On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything

His later standalone book on gambling, risk-taking, and decision-making.

Read in order

Books by series

annual · completed

Baseball Prospectus Annual

Annual books of Major League Baseball analysis, forecasts, and player projections, co-authored by Nate Silver during his Baseball Prospectus years.

Series guide →
  1. 1
    Baseball Prospectus 2003

    Book 1 · nonfiction · 2003

    Amazon ↗
  2. 2
    Baseball Prospectus 2004

    Book 2 · nonfiction · 2004

    Amazon ↗
  3. 3
    Baseball Prospectus 2005

    Book 3 · nonfiction · 2005

    Amazon ↗
  4. 4
    Baseball Prospectus 2006

    Book 4 · nonfiction · 2006

    Amazon ↗
  5. 5
    Baseball Prospectus 2007

    Book 5 · nonfiction · 2007

    Amazon ↗
  6. 6
    Baseball Prospectus 2008

    Book 6 · nonfiction · 2008

    Amazon ↗
  7. 7 Cover of Baseball Prospectus 2009
    Baseball Prospectus 2009

    Book 7 · nonfiction · 2009

    Amazon ↗

Outside the series

Bibliography by category

Novels (2)
  1. Cover of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't
    The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't

    nonfiction · 2012

    Amazon ↗
  2. Cover of On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything
    On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything

    nonfiction · 2024

    Amazon ↗